Universiteit Leiden

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Seminar

Consensus and ideology in expert communities: The case of economics

  • Tod Van Gunten
Date
Friday 3 November 2023
Time
Address
Willem Einthoven
Kolffpad 1
2333 BN Leiden
Room
CWTS - Common Room
Tod Van Gunten

Abstract

Professional consensus in expert communities is a topic of scholarly, public and political significance; for example, professional consensus among climate scientists on the anthropogenic origins of climate change is a major factor in climate policy.  In the case of economics, researchers and observers make claims about professional consensus on particular policy issues and about the level of consensus in the discipline as a whole.  At the same time, many observers perceive economics as a politicized discipline in which political ideologies about the free market and state intervention shape individual opinions.  This presentation will summarize several studies regarding professional consensus and political ideology in the economic profession that make use of a long tradition of survey research on members of the American Economic Association.  Previous research on the beliefs of professional economists focused on the level of consensus, while research on ideological structuring of economists beliefs is relatively new.  This presentation shows that there is a persistent ideological dimension to economists belief systems, which is relatively constant over time, at least until recently.  Economists position on the free market-state intervention dimension shapes their level of professional certainty and choice of collaborators.  Further analyses assess the relative contributions of ideology and consensus to the overall structuring of belief systems using entropic measures of belief system constraint.

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