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Lecture

Loyal by design: military reform, civilian control and public opinion in Russia

Date
Tuesday 6 October 2026
Time
Serie
Diplomacy and Global Affairs Research Seminar Series 2026
Address
Wijnhaven
Turfmarkt 99
2511 DP The Hague
Room
3.18

Registration

Participation is free, but registration is required. Please note: this is an English-language event.

Apply here

About the event

This talk traces the opportunities and constraints that shaped Russian military reform from 2008 to 2022, and argues that the resulting force was optimised for elite control as much as for warfighting. It then turns to the domestic consequences, presenting findings from a three-wave survey experiment on how Russians respond to endorsement and dissent from military and diplomatic elites across six foreign and defence policy issues, from peace talks with Ukraine to tactical nuclear employment. The results have direct implications for European deterrence signalling and expectations on negotiations.

Portrait of Dr Kirill Shamiev
Dr Kirill Shamiev

About the speaker

Dr. Kirill Shamiev works as an analyst at Swedish Institute of International Affairs and a non-resident researcher at Vilnius University's Institute of International Relations and Political Science. Previously, he worked as policy fellow at the European Council on Foreign Relations and a public sector consultant at Verian Group. He has a PhD in Political Science from Central European University. Dr Shamiev specializes in civil-military relations, security sector reforms, and Russian affairs. His personal website:

Diplomacy and Global Affairs (DGA) Research SeminarĀ 

The Diplomacy and Global Affairs (DGA) Research Seminar is a series launched by the Research Group on Diplomacy and Global Affairs at the Institute of Security and Global Affairs. The seminars of internationally acknowledged guest researchers and faculty members deal with current research topics in diplomacy, international relations, global affairs, and political economy broadly conceived and target a broad audience through their interdisciplinary focus.

If you have any questions, please contact Arash Pourebrahimi.  

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